Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.258048 3.505403 3.772823 4.085286 4.442792 4.842048 5.325929
2025-12-07 2.826472 3.145185 3.510190 3.965226 4.526305 5.208277 6.121184
2025-12-14 2.546905 2.889914 3.296344 3.823601 4.505757 5.383815 6.646624
2025-12-21 2.399152 2.767836 3.217705 3.822301 4.639791 5.751273 7.469527
2025-12-28 2.270214 2.653582 3.132446 3.794841 4.724306 6.049825 8.239219
2026-01-04 2.124744 2.506038 2.990121 3.673542 4.658592 6.114285 8.645756
2026-01-11 2.041567 2.431740 2.936036 3.664410 4.746867 6.414618 9.502942
2026-01-18 1.997986 2.405174 2.941777 3.736584 4.959330 6.937152 10.892967
2026-01-25 2.104494 2.583719 3.238732 4.257296 5.936649 8.946873 16.139088
2026-02-01 1.980600 2.439712 3.071159 4.061436 5.714559 8.735265 16.216170
2026-02-08 1.860348 2.295924 2.897131 3.844576 5.437563 8.381168 15.828305
2026-02-15 1.800563 2.234085 2.838528 3.804403 5.462340 8.628303 17.171522
2026-02-22 1.736406 2.170051 2.782967 3.781163 5.544604 9.073947 19.573278
2026-03-01 1.652063 2.074399 2.676711 3.670116 5.459607 9.159999 20.989682
2026-03-08 1.571948 1.980842 2.567964 3.545716 5.333734 9.127607 21.999158
2026-03-15 1.529324 1.939276 2.535056 3.544525 5.441724 9.665194 25.785620
2026-03-22 1.484613 1.892416 2.491058 3.520271 5.500512 10.100211 29.758372
2026-03-29 1.423785 1.819357 2.402821 3.412954 5.378687 10.041672 31.190512
2026-04-05 1.389737 1.784584 2.372552 3.404865 5.460771 10.555855 36.934085
2026-04-12 1.373757 1.775903 2.382613 3.468763 5.703820 11.610308 49.700918
2026-04-19 1.436942 1.889565 2.595825 3.926992 6.924999 16.539065 184.571459
2026-04-26 1.374859 1.807710 2.482957 3.755199 6.618576 15.786806 174.203828
2026-05-03 1.311786 1.722866 2.362736 3.564195 6.251581 14.735785 147.259353